This article mainly explores the future technology, people use mobile phones to target the vehicle positioning and navigation system. For most people, navigation is essential, when you go to a strange country or a strange city, navigation can help you clear and tell you the exact direction and the exact driving route you want to get to. Especially for me, when I first came to Australia, I needed to use the navigation to find the teaching buildings and some restaurants of the school. Even now, the usage rate of navigation is still high, but in many cases, the navigation is not 100% accurate, and even makes me confused sometimes, so I hope to explore how the navigation system of mobile phones and vehicles in 2030 will complement each other and cooperate with each other to complete the cross-era connection and development.
Bell’s Sociology of futurology
1.Historical trend：According to Bell, combining the existing results and reviewing the historical trends of the previous development, we can roughly predict the need for future improvements or new directions of development. He especially emphasized the importance of historical achievements, and proposed that the future direction of development should be combined with the failure or success of history, so that it can be more in line with the practical significance and close to life prediction results.
2.Scenario planning：Bell saw the future as a series of possible scenarios rather than as a general prediction. He strongly encourages and advocates people to construct the blueprint of the future world from different angles and aspects and enlarge it infinitely. He will analyze the possibility and influence of each scenario to guide people on how to develop which is the most beneficial for the society or the future.
3.Social change and system innovation：In Bell’s view, social changes and institutions have a certain connection to future development. The promotion and development of society need constant reform, but in different countries or different doctrines, social rules and systems are different, and national conditions are different, so the prediction should be made according to the dynamics of social change and the possibility of institutional innovation.
4.Interdisciplinary and comprehensive：Belt stressed that the future prediction should be combined with the knowledge and analysis of various professional fields. In his opinion, the exploration and research of the future should be combined with the professional knowledge of various disciplines and the use of different methods to comprehensively understand the complexity of the future. Only in this way can the future prediction be the most accurate, scientific and possible.
Historical analysis of location and navigation data from mobile phones and cars
Combined with the development of mobile phones and vehicle positioning and navigation systems, we are not difficult to analyze the situation after. Nowadays, the positioning and navigation system of vehicles and mobile phones is based on the positioning of vehicles by software and then displayed in the simulated map, and then the positioning and navigation system is created by combining the physical AR system and the real world in the past two years. The existing problem is that the changes of the entity and the navigation of the vehicle cannot be updated in real time, including the interleaving of different sections on some highways, which makes it difficult for the navigation to show accurate routes at once. In my opinion, what needs to be innovated and developed in the future is to provide accurate road updates through the accurate positioning of satellites, and then link the navigation of mobile phones or cars, so that the road conditions can be directly displayed to the public, and the occurrence and report of emergencies can be accurately communicated to everyone.
Scenario planning combining positioning and navigation systems of mobile phones and vehicles
Google Maps Diverts Traffic into Dead-End Road: In 2017, Google Maps was criticized for directing drivers to a dead-end road in the rural town of Berry, New South Wales. The road, which was not designed to handle heavy traffic, became congested with frustrated drivers following Google’s directions.
Source:
“Google Maps glitch sends tourists into mud pit.” ABC News. August 21, 2017.
According to this example, we can learn that in many remote areas or places far from the city center, the map navigation system and positioning system are not so accurate. You can set up a scene, assuming that you are a lover who likes to climb mountains or explore the jungle, when you step into a more remote area, then the importance and science of positioning navigation can be shown, if the satellite positioning technology is now linked to the system of mobile phones and vehicles, then you can quickly find the exact destination.
Social change and institutional innovation of mobile phone and vehicle positioning and navigation system
By 2030, the wide application of navigation technology in our vehicles and mobile phones will provide more data support and decision-making references for urban planning and traffic management. Government departments can use navigation data to analyze traffic flow, road usage and other information, optimize urban road layout, traffic signal timing, etc., so as to improve the efficiency of urban traffic operation and the overall management level of the traffic system.
The interdisciplinarity and comprehensiveness of positioning and navigation systems for mobile phones and vehicles
The domain knowledge required to implement this possibility is very broad, we need computer science for database management, distributed systems and network technology. We need IT to do technical support for phone calls and tracking vehicles. We need communication technology, including telephone networks and wireless communication technology. We also need expertise in areas such as geographic information systems and engineering.
Artificial intelligence- generated images of vehicle and mobile phone positioning and navigation systems
Conclusion
In general, Wendell Bell’s futuristic model emphasizes the methodology of studying the future, historical trend analysis, scenario planning, social change and institutional innovation, as well as interdisciplinary and comprehensive aspects, aiming to help people better understand and respond to the challenges and opportunities of the future. It is good to make the positioning and navigation system of vehicles and mobile phones more accurate and more applicable to different places, so that its existence plays a positive role in the progress and development of society.
Reference list：
1，Bell, W. (1997). Foundations of Futures Studies: Human Science for a New Era: Values, Objectivity, and the Good Society. Transaction Publishers.
2，Bell, W. (2003). Two Faces of Time: A Synthesis of Time Perspective Theory. Springer.
3，Bell, W. (2003). The Sociology of the Future: Parsimonious Construction Toward a Theory of World System Transformation. Paradigm Publishers.
4，Bell, W. (2009). Sociological Futures: Conceptions, Contributions, and Challenges. Routledge.
Video link：https://youtu.be/mPLwnmlpZeM?si=9trqzP2ZX0mtiBVX
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